任性的特朗普,在为自己的行为买单

黄金价格近期走高,越来越多的人搞不清楚现在的经济格局。

一般来讲,经济向好,黄金价格下跌。经济向差,资金涌向黄金避险。

因为美元是国际货币,一切大宗商品的定价,都会以美元衡量。

美国经济向好,黄金价格趋势向差;美国经济悲观,黄金价格走高。

近期美国经济数据公布后,一切都看上去很美好,美股接连创新高。正常年景,此时的黄金价格会有小幅下跌,但是今年变了。

怪事年年有,今年特别多。

这事还要从任性的总统说起,诸多出尔反尔的表态,美国经济进入了模糊状态。与此同时,也为特朗普的连任带来了不确定性。

壹 · 任性的总统,玩坏了韧性的支持

特朗普总统喜欢说——他的追随者也经常附和这种观点——他的挥砍式、拳击式的风格是他成功的必要条件。

然而,越来越多的证据表明,事实可能恰恰相反:如果不是因为他坚持不懈的好斗作风导致人们对他的人格产生了大量的怀疑,他可能会有一个更成功的总统任期,并更容易连任。

《华尔街日报》和其他权威每天新闻民意调查有了最新的变化。该调查发现,人们对经济普遍感到满意,对2019年的预期良好,对经济衰退的担忧正在消退。

几个数据也佐证了这个情绪。在调查中人们更关注经济数据。很多人认为2019年是美国最好的年份之一,这个共识是美国绝大多数人的看法。

对于经济的乐观态度,是美国30年来的最高评价。

但是,特朗普的选民支持数据,却在下滑。

在一个正常的环境中,这种经济满意度和乐观应该转化为总统的工作支持率超过50%,甚至60%。然而,。特朗普的工作满意度只有44%

同样,一位对经济抱有这种公众信心的总统,如果想要连任,应该就不会那么乐观了。

与此同时华尔街的另一项调查,令人震惊的是,48%的受访者表示,无论民主党提名谁来反对特朗普,他们都肯定会投票反对特朗普连任。

平心而论,特朗普作为一个美国总统,取得的成绩可圈可点。

股市一直在新高中徘徊,就业率目前是历史最高水平,消费数据出现了一点萎靡,但并没有引起经济衰退的预期。

为什么会出现如此反差的局面呢?

或许我们能从他平时的言论找到一些蛛丝马迹。

美国目前在国际影响力不断下降,中东影响逐渐被老毛子替代。

这引发了欧洲盟友的担忧,他们担心美国削减的军费,会让他们的安全不能依赖美国。

更恐怖的是,特朗普发动了欧洲制裁,增加了一些商品的关税。

国内消费,为了削减贸易赤字,关税的增加让消费者成为了最终买单者。

最关键的是,任性的总统发言,让美国人民看不清未来的趋势。

特朗普一直是贩卖焦虑的主角,越来越多的数据表明,他也成为了最终的买单者。

贰 · 商人出身的总统,喜欢玩套路

另外一个民调结果显示,有50%的人表明,他们对特朗普作为总统候选人感到“非常不舒服”。

是什么导致了经济满意度与总统监管下的不安之间如此显著的差距呢?当然,这是一个复杂的问题,但答案在很大程度上取决于特朗普自己的一言一行。

大家都明白,作为总统应该谨言慎行。但是贩卖焦虑成功的特朗普,活学活用一招鲜吃遍天的哲理。

总统点燃愤怒,作为一种方式,以保持他的政治基础激励他背后,并结盟反对他的政治敌人。他似乎通过制造争议来让他的对手放松警惕,并引导全国性的对话。

这把他和这个国家引向了一些黑暗的地方。

最近最好的例子是特朗普上周在密歇根州的一次集会上对一名死者的攻击,这名死者是前民主党众议员约翰·丁格尔(John Dingell),他是众议院中任期最长的议员,他的遗孀、现任众议员黛比·丁格尔(Debbie Dingell)。除了攻击已故众议员丁格尔,总统还暗示,他现在可能生活在地狱里。

无论在哪里,人死为大的传统都存在。逝者为大,这也是人类的共识。

但是特朗普为了自己的政治利益,竟然去攻击一个过世的政治家,并且暗示他已经下了地狱。这个做法,如果是悍妇吵架,我们可以理解;但是作为一个政客,就有点底线尽失了。

所有这一切,特朗普团队的解释是,因为近期总统受到弹劾,口不择言!

既然觉得自己无辜的总统,担心这次弹劾干什么呢?

难道清者不能自清?

所有这一切,只能证明特朗普已经不淡定了。

叁 · 连任数据已经不太乐观

当年特朗普的连任,口号是让美国再次强大。

他列举了一些数据,美国的预算赤字率恐怖、美国的贸易赤字惊人、美国制造业空心化的现状!

他利用了美国人对金融和政治统治阶级的焦虑、愤怒和不满情绪,成为了美国总统。然而,从总统宝座上挑起这种愤怒和不满情绪有明显的负面影响。

或许最好的例证来自《华尔街日报》/NBC新闻频道(NBC News)最新调查的另一个数据点。

三十年来,这项调查经常提出这样的问题。

美国人无论他们认为国家正朝着正确的方向前进,还是偏离了错误的轨道。通常,对这个问题的看法反映了经济状况。

然而今天,尽管经济增长,股市强劲,失业率低,只有35%的人认为国家正在朝着正确的方向前进。超过半数(56%)的人说,美国走错了方向。

在这个问题上,就像在其他许多问题上一样,党派分歧比以往任何时候都更加明显。对这种情绪的解释不是在经济领域,而是在一个令人担忧的政治环境中。

总统连任,过去只要经济预期向好,就会有惊无险的完成选举。

今年以来的各项调查表明,特朗普的连任已经不那么乐观,等待他的或许只能是落选了吧!

人生如戏,戏如人生。

特朗普已经入戏太深,深到不能自拔,完全沉寂在自己的世界里。

幻想着自己的美国梦,让美国再次强大!

美国已经不强大了吗?

这或许应该是他落选好好思考的问题。

结语

特朗普的政绩,被自己折腾的已经不剩什么了。一个任性的总统,最后只能任性的落选。黄金价格指数,可能是预测特朗普下台与否的关键指标 !经济向好,黄金牛市,怎么想都有那么一点不对味。这个不对味,只能从特朗普身上找到答案。

Gold prices have risen recently, and more and more people are confused about the current economic situation.

Generally speaking, the economy is improving and gold prices are falling. The economy is poor, and money is flowing to gold to avoid risks.

Because the US dollar is the international currency, the price of all commodities will be measured in US dollars.

The U.S. economy is on the good side and the gold price is on the bad side; the U.S. economy is pessimistic and the gold price is higher.

After the recent release of US economic data, everything looks very good, and US stocks have set new highs one after another. In a normal year, the price of gold will drop slightly at this time, but it has changed this year.

Strange things happen every year, especially this year.

This matter also starts from the willful president, many counter statements, the U.S. economy has entered a fuzzy state. At the same time, it also brings uncertainty to trump’s re-election.

Wayward president, playing bad tenacity support.

President trump likes to say – and his followers often agree – that his style of slashing and boxing is essential to his success.

However, there is growing evidence that the opposite may be true: if it were not for his persistent belligerence that led to a great deal of doubt about his personality, he might have a more successful presidency and be more likely to be re elected.

The Wall Street Journal and other authorities update their daily news polls. The survey found that people are generally satisfied with the economy, expectations are good for 2019, and concerns about the recession are fading.

Several data also support this sentiment. In the survey, people pay more attention to economic data. Many people think 2019 is one of the best years in the United States, and this consensus is the opinion of the vast majority of people in the United States.

Optimism about the economy is the highest in 30 years.

But Trump’s voter support numbers are slipping.

In a normal environment, this economic satisfaction and optimism should translate into more than 50% or even 60% of the president’s job support. However, Trump’s job satisfaction is only 44%.

Similarly, a president with such public confidence in the economy should be less optimistic if he wants to be re elected.

in another wall street survey, a shocking 48% of respondents said they would definitely vote against Trump’s re-election no matter who the Democratic Party nominated against trump.

To be fair, trump, as a president of the United States, has made remarkable achievements.

The stock market has been hovering in the new high school, the employment rate is currently the highest level in history, and the consumption data is a bit sluggish, but it does not cause the expectation of economic recession.

Why is there such a contrast?

Maybe we can find some clues from his usual remarks.

At present, the U.S. influence in the world is declining, and the influence in the Middle East is gradually replaced by Russia.

This has raised concerns among European allies that US military cuts will make their security dependent on the US.

What’s more, trump launched European sanctions and increased tariffs on some goods.

Domestic consumption, in order to reduce the trade deficit, the increase of tariff makes consumers become the ultimate buyer.

Most importantly, the willful president’s speech made the American people lose sight of the future trend.

Trump has always been the subject of anxiety about selling, and more and more data show that he has also become the ultimate buyer.

The president, a businessman, likes to play tricks。

Another poll showed that 50% of people said they were “very uncomfortable” with trump as a presidential candidate.

What causes such a significant gap between economic satisfaction and unease under the president’s supervision? Of course, this is a complex question, but the answer depends largely on Trump’s own words and deeds.

As we all know, as president, we should be careful in our words and deeds. But trump, who is anxious and successful in selling goods, has learned to eat all over the world.

The president ignited anger as a way to keep his political base motivated behind him and to ally against his political enemies. He seems to be creating controversy to let his opponents relax their vigilance and lead a national dialogue.

This led him and the country to some dark places.

The best recent example is Trump’s attack on a former Democratic congressman, John Dingell, who served the longest term in the house of Representatives, his widow and current congressman Debbie Dingell, at a Michigan rally last week. In addition to attacking the late congressman, Dingle, the president hinted that he might now live in hell.

No matter where it is, the tradition of human death exists. It is also the consensus of mankind that the dead are the great.

But trump, for his own political interests, attacked a dead politician and hinted that he had gone to hell. We can understand this practice if it’s a shrew quarrel, but as a politician, it’s a bit of the bottom line.

All of this, the trump team explained, is that because the president was impeached recently, no choice!

Now that you think you are innocent president, what are you worried about this impeachment?

Can’t the pure be self-cleaning?

All this can only prove that trump is not calm.

The re-election data is not so optimistic.

The slogan of Trump’s re-election was to make America strong again.

He listed some data, the budget deficit rate of the United States is terrible, the trade deficit of the United States is amazing, and the current situation of the hollowing out of American manufacturing industry!

He took advantage of American anxiety, anger and dissatisfaction with the financial and political ruling classes to become president of the United States. However, provoking such anger and discontent from the presidency has a significant negative impact.

Perhaps the best example comes from another data point recently surveyed by the Wall Street Journal / NBC news.

For three decades, the survey has often asked such questions.

Whether Americans think the country is moving in the right direction or off the right track. Generally, the views on this issue reflect the economic situation.

Today, however, despite economic growth, strong stock markets and low unemployment, only 35% think the country is moving in the right direction. More than half (56%) said the United States was in the wrong direction.

On this issue, as on many others, partisanship is more pronounced than ever. The explanation for this sentiment is not in the economic sphere, but in a worrying political environment.

In the past, as long as the economic expectation is good, the presidential re-election will be completed without danger.

Various surveys since this year show that Trump’s re-election is not so optimistic. Maybe he can only be defeated!

Life is like a play, play like a life.

Trump has gone too far into the play, too deep to extricate himself, completely silent in his own world.

Fantasizing about their American dream, making America strong again!

Is America no longer strong?

Maybe it should be a question for him to think about.

Trump’s achievements, by their own toss has nothing left. A capricious president can only be defeated at last. Gold price index may be a key indicator to predict whether trump will step down or not! The economy is getting better, the gold bull market, there’s something wrong with it. This is not right. We can only find the answer from Trump.

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