壹 · 任性的总统，玩坏了韧性的支持
贰 · 商人出身的总统，喜欢玩套路
最近最好的例子是特朗普上周在密歇根州的一次集会上对一名死者的攻击，这名死者是前民主党众议员约翰·丁格尔(John Dingell)，他是众议院中任期最长的议员，他的遗孀、现任众议员黛比·丁格尔(Debbie Dingell)。除了攻击已故众议员丁格尔，总统还暗示，他现在可能生活在地狱里。
叁 · 连任数据已经不太乐观
Gold prices have risen recently, and more and more people are confused about the current economic situation.
Generally speaking, the economy is improving and gold prices are falling. The economy is poor, and money is flowing to gold to avoid risks.
Because the US dollar is the international currency, the price of all commodities will be measured in US dollars.
The U.S. economy is on the good side and the gold price is on the bad side; the U.S. economy is pessimistic and the gold price is higher.
After the recent release of US economic data, everything looks very good, and US stocks have set new highs one after another. In a normal year, the price of gold will drop slightly at this time, but it has changed this year.
Strange things happen every year, especially this year.
This matter also starts from the willful president, many counter statements, the U.S. economy has entered a fuzzy state. At the same time, it also brings uncertainty to trump’s re-election.
Wayward president, playing bad tenacity support.
President trump likes to say – and his followers often agree – that his style of slashing and boxing is essential to his success.
However, there is growing evidence that the opposite may be true: if it were not for his persistent belligerence that led to a great deal of doubt about his personality, he might have a more successful presidency and be more likely to be re elected.
The Wall Street Journal and other authorities update their daily news polls. The survey found that people are generally satisfied with the economy, expectations are good for 2019, and concerns about the recession are fading.
Several data also support this sentiment. In the survey, people pay more attention to economic data. Many people think 2019 is one of the best years in the United States, and this consensus is the opinion of the vast majority of people in the United States.
Optimism about the economy is the highest in 30 years.
But Trump’s voter support numbers are slipping.
In a normal environment, this economic satisfaction and optimism should translate into more than 50% or even 60% of the president’s job support. However, Trump’s job satisfaction is only 44%.
Similarly, a president with such public confidence in the economy should be less optimistic if he wants to be re elected.
in another wall street survey, a shocking 48% of respondents said they would definitely vote against Trump’s re-election no matter who the Democratic Party nominated against trump.
To be fair, trump, as a president of the United States, has made remarkable achievements.
The stock market has been hovering in the new high school, the employment rate is currently the highest level in history, and the consumption data is a bit sluggish, but it does not cause the expectation of economic recession.
Why is there such a contrast?
Maybe we can find some clues from his usual remarks.
At present, the U.S. influence in the world is declining, and the influence in the Middle East is gradually replaced by Russia.
This has raised concerns among European allies that US military cuts will make their security dependent on the US.
What’s more, trump launched European sanctions and increased tariffs on some goods.
Domestic consumption, in order to reduce the trade deficit, the increase of tariff makes consumers become the ultimate buyer.
Most importantly, the willful president’s speech made the American people lose sight of the future trend.
Trump has always been the subject of anxiety about selling, and more and more data show that he has also become the ultimate buyer.
The president, a businessman, likes to play tricks。
Another poll showed that 50% of people said they were “very uncomfortable” with trump as a presidential candidate.
What causes such a significant gap between economic satisfaction and unease under the president’s supervision? Of course, this is a complex question, but the answer depends largely on Trump’s own words and deeds.
As we all know, as president, we should be careful in our words and deeds. But trump, who is anxious and successful in selling goods, has learned to eat all over the world.
The president ignited anger as a way to keep his political base motivated behind him and to ally against his political enemies. He seems to be creating controversy to let his opponents relax their vigilance and lead a national dialogue.
This led him and the country to some dark places.
The best recent example is Trump’s attack on a former Democratic congressman, John Dingell, who served the longest term in the house of Representatives, his widow and current congressman Debbie Dingell, at a Michigan rally last week. In addition to attacking the late congressman, Dingle, the president hinted that he might now live in hell.
No matter where it is, the tradition of human death exists. It is also the consensus of mankind that the dead are the great.
But trump, for his own political interests, attacked a dead politician and hinted that he had gone to hell. We can understand this practice if it’s a shrew quarrel, but as a politician, it’s a bit of the bottom line.
All of this, the trump team explained, is that because the president was impeached recently, no choice!
Now that you think you are innocent president, what are you worried about this impeachment?
Can’t the pure be self-cleaning?
All this can only prove that trump is not calm.
The re-election data is not so optimistic.
The slogan of Trump’s re-election was to make America strong again.
He listed some data, the budget deficit rate of the United States is terrible, the trade deficit of the United States is amazing, and the current situation of the hollowing out of American manufacturing industry!
He took advantage of American anxiety, anger and dissatisfaction with the financial and political ruling classes to become president of the United States. However, provoking such anger and discontent from the presidency has a significant negative impact.
Perhaps the best example comes from another data point recently surveyed by the Wall Street Journal / NBC news.
For three decades, the survey has often asked such questions.
Whether Americans think the country is moving in the right direction or off the right track. Generally, the views on this issue reflect the economic situation.
Today, however, despite economic growth, strong stock markets and low unemployment, only 35% think the country is moving in the right direction. More than half (56%) said the United States was in the wrong direction.
On this issue, as on many others, partisanship is more pronounced than ever. The explanation for this sentiment is not in the economic sphere, but in a worrying political environment.
In the past, as long as the economic expectation is good, the presidential re-election will be completed without danger.
Various surveys since this year show that Trump’s re-election is not so optimistic. Maybe he can only be defeated!
Life is like a play, play like a life.
Trump has gone too far into the play, too deep to extricate himself, completely silent in his own world.
Fantasizing about their American dream, making America strong again!
Is America no longer strong?
Maybe it should be a question for him to think about.
Trump’s achievements, by their own toss has nothing left. A capricious president can only be defeated at last. Gold price index may be a key indicator to predict whether trump will step down or not! The economy is getting better, the gold bull market, there’s something wrong with it. This is not right. We can only find the answer from Trump.